The model — every pick, every edge, every miss. All year.

55.7% strike across 131 audited bets. +16.9% ROI. Slow on purpose.

Two ways in

Same private Telegram feed either way — daily picks across football and racing, every fire and every sit, with the edge and the reasoning. Pick the billing that suits you.

What you get

• Daily picks across football and racing — posted to a private Telegram channel, every fire and every sit, with edge %.
• Lineup re-checks at T-45 — picks are pulled, downgraded, or upgraded once confirmed XIs drop.
• Transparent staking math — fractional Kelly with explicit caps, bankroll % shown, no "max bet" language.
• Full reasoning behind every fire AND every sit — you see why we skipped a +EV-looking pick, not just the ones we played.
• The full, live track record — every bet logged, win or lose.

What you DON'T get

• No accumulator bait. No five-fold "banker of the day". Singles, sized to edge.
• No 96% accuracy claims. The number is published in real time. It's around 53%. That's enough.
• No deepfake celebrity endorsements. No "as seen on Sky Sports". No paid actors in suits.
• No "the AI does the work" mystique. A model produces outputs; a human decides whether to fire. Both are accountable.

How the model works (briefly)

A multi-layer ensemble — Dixon-Coles match probabilities, Elo, expected-goals divergence, weather, lineups, referee profiles, and more. The exact layer count, weights, and thresholds aren't public (that's the IP). The outputs are public, the bets are public, the results are settled in real time. See the full breakdown →

FAQ

What's the difference between the two options?

Same feed, same access. £35 one-off is lifetime — pay once, in forever, no card on file. £25/month is a rolling membership you can cancel anytime. The £35 lifetime is a founder deal — only until 31 July 2026. After that, the monthly is the only way in.

How are picks delivered?

Direct to a private Telegram channel. You'll get an invite link within 12 hours of payment.

Can I cancel the monthly?

Yes — cancel anytime, no lock-in. You keep access until the end of the paid month.

Will you reveal the model?

No. You see the outputs, edges, and reasoning per pick. The exact layer count, weights, and thresholds stay private — that's the only moat we have.

Refunds?

Full refund if you don't get an invite within 24h. After channel access is granted, no refunds — UK distance-selling rules for digital services. Full policy →

Are you a licensed bookmaker or financial advisor?

Neither. This is a quantitative research service. Picks are model outputs, not financial advice. You place your own bets at your own bookmaker. 18+. Bet responsibly.