After delivering one of the biggest shocks in World Cup history in the round of 32, Paraguay will have to perform another miracle this evening if they want to take down a formidable French team. The star studded lineup will be a tough task for any team in this tournament and the favourites won’t have any time for fairy tales.
France’s attacking options include the likes of Kylian Mbappe, Ousmane Dembélé and Michael Olise, suggesting that they will want to create a fast, relentless environment where their individual quality can shine.
Their proficiency in transitions means Paraguay won’t be able to switch off for even a second. The dynamic French side thrives on their balance and ability to create goal scoring chances in a matter of seconds. And if Paraguay allow Kylian Mbappe in behind their defence, it could be a very long night.
But having already knocked out Germany, the South Americans can have some hope heading into this game. They showed incredible discipline in their last outing and will be confident that their low block can keep out some of the world’s best.
They also have their own talents they’ll be looking to in order to spring counter attacks. If they remain compact and take control of the spaces Julio Enciso and Miguel Almirón will be on hand to try and punish France.
We’re not expecting it to be total football, but that’s what the game is about, finding a way to win. It’s set to be a scorcher in Philadelphia, which may favour Paraguay. If the game is slower and pressing becomes tiresome, this is something they can definitely take advantage of.
It’s likely to be an extremely physical game as Paraguay look to deter the stacked French team. They have grit in abundance and won’t roll out the red carpet for anyone, just ask Jamal Musiala! Set pieces are also something to keep an eye on in this one. As a main source of chance creation for both sides they’re importance can’t be underestimated.
Predicted Line Ups
Predictions
The model isn’t sitting on the fence here, France are at 81.5% to win with an expected goals of 3.85.
As if to pile more misery on Paraguay, the model has given a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals with the two most likely score lines being 0-3 and 0-4 in France’s favour. But everyone loves an underdog, right?
But with Paraguay’s xg at 0.4, the model sees a France clean sheet on the books. With the chance of both teams to score being only 32%.